Weighting Component Models by Predicting from Data Streams Using Ensembles of Genetic Fuzzy Systems

نویسندگان

  • Bogdan Trawinski
  • Tadeusz Lasota
  • Magdalena Smetek
  • Grzegorz Trawinski
چکیده

Our recently proposed method to predict from a data stream of real estate sales transactions based on ensembles of genetic fuzzy systems was extended to include weighting component models. The method consists in incremental expanding an ensemble by models built over successive chunks of a data stream. The predicted prices of residential premises computed by aged component models for current data are updated according to a trend function reflecting the changes of the market. The impact of different techniques of weighting component models on the accuracy of an ensemble was compared in the paper. Three techniques of weighting component models were proposed: proportional to their estimated accuracy, time of ageing, and dependent on property market fluctuations.

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تاریخ انتشار 2013